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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Middlesbrough logo
Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough
James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
42.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.47% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)38.87% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)61.18% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)18.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)49.81% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 42.78%
    Middlesbrough 33.75%
    Draw 23.46%
Leeds UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Leeds vs Middlesbrough

Leeds United
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Middlesbrough
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Feb 9, 2019 1pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-1
Leeds
Wing (47')
Saville (59'), Howson (98')
Phillips (101')
Jansson (103')
Aug 31, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-0
Middlesbrough
Saiz (34'), Douglas (53'), Berardi (73'), Cooper (78')
Besic (55'), Clayton (62'), Ayala (80'), Flint (90')
Mar 2, 2018 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
3-0
Leeds
Bamford (31', 36', 68')
Leadbitter (34')

Saiz (34'), Anita (41'), Cooper (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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