Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Luke O'Nien 40' yellowcard
  • Jobe Bellingham 78' goal
  • yellowcard Archie Gray 28'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 70'

Sunderland vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Sunderland 2 - 1 West Brom
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jack Clarke

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Blackburn 0 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result

Sunderland 39.55% (-0.30)
Draw 23.7% (+0.06)
Leeds United 36.75% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.57% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.58% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 39.41% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 38.24% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 61.75% (+0.23)
Over 4.5 20.75% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 79.25% (+0.18)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 79.78% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 20.22% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 47.46% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 52.53% (+0.37)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 78.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 21.57% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 45.34% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 54.65% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Sunderland 39.55%
Draw 23.7%
Leeds United 36.75%
Sunderland
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.97% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.36% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
Leeds United
1-2 @ 8.2% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 6.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-98.20)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.75%

Head to Head

Championship
Apr 7, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 75' yellowcard
  • Ezgjan Alioski 83' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 90' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 90' redcard
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 12'
  • goal Paddy McNair 49'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 70'
  • yellowcard Callum McManaman 90'
Championship
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Brendan Galloway 36' yellowcard
  • Lamine Kone 69' yellowcard
  • Didier Ndong 82' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Saiz 21'
  • yellowcard Felix Wiedwald 68'
  • goal Stuart Dallas 76'
FA Cup
Jan 4, 2015 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Patrick van Aanholt 33' goal
  • Liam Bridcutt 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Murphy 35'
Championship
Dec 26, 2006 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • David Connolly 65' goal
  • Grant Leadbitter 81' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Douglas 90'
Championship
Sep 13, 2006 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Ian Westlake 16' yellowcard
  • Paul Butler 21' yellowcard
  • Kevin Nicholls 73' yellowcard
  • Garry Kelly 90' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Douglas 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Graham Kavanagh 7'
  • goal Liam Miller 28'
  • goal Graham Kavanagh 45'
  • yellowcard Liam Miller 82'
Championship
Dec 26, 2004 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Liam Lawrence 43' goal
  • Julio Arca 90' goal
  • yellowcard Garry Kelly 19'
  • goal Aaron Lennon 30'
  • yellowcard Paul Butler 40'
  • goal Brian Deane 61'