Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.