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Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland
Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Millwall
Wednesday, November 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Huddersfield
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 2-2 Sunderland

With both teams having been poor since the return from the international break, this is a difficult one to call. Sunderland are always a threat in the final third, yet we feel that Millwall will take advantage of their growing uncertainty at the back to claim a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Millwall win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
29.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.52% (0.0010000000000012 0) 45.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)67.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)64.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)20% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 29.81%
    Sunderland 45.67%
    Draw 24.51%
MillwallDrawSunderland
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.81%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.67%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
2-2
Millwall
Grabban (12'), Matthews (46')
Oviedo (62'), Cattermole (65'), Honeyman (69')
Saville (16', 20')
Nov 5, 2004 3pm
Millwall
2-0
Sunderland
Lawrence (45'), Wise (33' pen.)
Wise (7')

Arca (12'), Lawrence (32'), Robinson (41'), Whitley (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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