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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Millwall logo
Ipswich
3 - 1
Millwall
Chaplin (5'), Luongo (12'), Broadhead (39')
Luongo (25'), Broadhead (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nisbet (78')
Flemming (37'), Honeyman (46'), De Norre (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 3-1 Millwall

Ipswich produced arguably their worst performance of the season at The Hawthorns on Saturday, meaning they will be desperate to put things right in front of their home faithful in this one. Millwall have a tricky quartet of fixtures coming up, and we cannot imagine them picking up any points from their trip to East Anglia on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
44.03% (1.379 1.38) 25.92% (0.507 0.51) 30.05% (-1.891 -1.89)
Both teams to score 52.72% (-2.521 -2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (-2.879 -2.88)51.32% (2.874 2.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (-2.571 -2.57)73.14% (2.565 2.57)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.584 -0.58)23.21% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.858 -0.86)57.1% (0.852 0.85)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-2.744 -2.74)31.34% (2.739 2.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-3.306 -3.31)67.71% (3.301 3.3)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 44.03%
    Millwall 30.05%
    Draw 25.91%
Ipswich TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.62% (1.003 1)
2-1 @ 9% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.614 0.61)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.239 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.03%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.802 0.8)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.338 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.378 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Millwall

Ipswich Town
76.7%
Draw
20.9%
Millwall
2.3%
43
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Millwall
1-1
Ipswich
Afobe (15')
Ladapo (54')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Ipswich
0-3
Millwall
Wallace (38'), Afobe (50'), Malone (54')
McNamara (31')
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ipswich
2-3
Millwall
Lankester (2'), Jackson (89')
Ferguson (60' pen.), Cooper (68'), Elliott (76')
Morison (66')
Oct 27, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 15
Millwall
3-0
Ipswich
Gregory (26', 51'), Leonard (70')

Pennington (57')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
2-2
Millwall
Waghorn (53', 55')
Carayol (61'), Spence (80'), Gleeson (82'), Waghorn (90')
Cooper (27'), Saville (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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