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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
44.03% ( 1.38) | 25.92% ( 0.51) | 30.05% ( -1.89) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -2.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -2.88) | 51.32% ( 2.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( -2.57) | 73.14% ( 2.57) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.58) | 23.21% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -0.86) | 57.1% ( 0.85) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.65% ( -2.74) | 31.34% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -3.31) | 67.71% ( 3.3) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.8) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.38) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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