Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.