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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 22.32% ( | 24.07% ( | 53.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( | 49.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( | 71.43% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( | 36.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( | 73.46% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( | 18.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.54% ( | 49.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 3-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.32% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.6% |