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Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo
Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
38.76% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 23.83% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 37.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60% (0.022999999999996 0.02)40% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.36% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.84% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.47% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.53% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)21.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 38.76%
    Leeds United 37.42%
    Draw 23.82%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 37.42%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
30.0%
Draw
20.0%
Leeds United
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 24
Leeds
3-2
Blackburn
Williams (33' og.), Roofe (91', 94')
Douglas (77'), Phillips (89')
Mulgrew (47' pen., 90')
Rodwell (44'), Lenihan (85')
Oct 20, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Blackburn
2-1
Leeds
Graham (2'), Lenihan (70')
Smallwood (47'), Evans (86'), Rodwell (87')
Klich (45')
Roofe (68'), Klich (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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