Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
2 - 0
Birmingham

O'Hare (30', 77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bacuna (9'), Dembele (56'), Aiwu (70'), Jutkiewicz (75'), James (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 55.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Birmingham City
55.31% ( 0.01)	23.86% ( -0.02)	20.83% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.33% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

0.09)

50.2% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

0.08)

72.16% (

-0.08)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

0.04)

18.01% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

0.06)

48.89% (

-0.06)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.39% (

0.06)

38.6% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65% (

0.06)

75.35% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 55.3%

Birmingham City 20.83%

Draw 23.85%

Coventry City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 55.3%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.83%