Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.