Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Adam Armstrong 6' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 15' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 47' goal
  • Ryan Manning 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zak Vyner 85'

Southampton vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Huddersfield 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
Bristol City 3 - 2 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result

Southampton 48.62% (-1.18)
Draw 25.83% (+0.53)
Bristol City 25.55% (+0.65)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.46% (-1.57)
Under 2.5 53.54% (+1.57)
Over 3.5 24.95% (-1.34)
Under 3.5 75.05% (+1.34)
Over 4.5 11.33% (-0.86)
Under 4.5 88.67% (+0.86)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 77.96% (-1.15)
Under 0.5 22.04% (+1.16)
Over 1.5 44.63% (-1.77)
Under 1.5 55.37% (+1.78)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 63.96% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 36.04% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 27.18% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 72.82% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Southampton 48.62%
Draw 25.82%
Bristol City 25.55%
Southampton
1-0 @ 12.01% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 48.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.25% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 7.94% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.82%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.43)
1-2 @ 6.26% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.14% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.55%

Head to Head

League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jos Hooiveld 12' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 15' goal
  • Jos Hooiveld 83' goal
Championship
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Morgan Schneiderlin 65' yellowcard
  • Danny Fox 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 34'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 61'
  • yellowcard Stephen Pearson 69'
  • goal Stephen Pearson 79'
  • yellowcard David James 90'
  • yellowcard Nicky Maynard 90'
Championship
Nov 26, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Albert Adomah 48' goal
  • Stephen Pearson 51' yellowcard
  • Nicky Maynard 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 87'
Championship
Feb 14, 2009 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dele Adebola 34' goal
  • Liam Fontaine 56' yellowcard
  • Bradley Orr 86' yellowcard
  • Gavin Williams 89' yellowcard
  • Ivan Sproule 90' goal
  • yellowcard Rudi Skacel 15'
  • yellowcard Drew Surman 50'
  • yellowcard Morgan Schneiderlin 62'
Championship
Nov 8, 2008 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jack Cork 38' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Johnson 52'
  • yellowcard Gavin Williams 76'
Championship
Apr 5, 2008 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Stern John 35' goal
  • Gregory Vignal 41' yellowcard
  • Youssef Safri 56' yellowcard
  • Jason Euell 84' goal
  • yellowcard Dele Adebola 76'
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 90'