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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Bristol City
Southampton
1 - 0
Bristol City
Walker-Peters (47')
Armstrong (6'), Walker-Peters (15'), Manning (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vyner (85')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Bristol City

This has all the makings of an intriguing fixture, Bristol City clearly growing in belief under their recently-appointed head coach. However, we cannot back against Southampton at this point, the Saints having been ticking along nicely with Saturday's draw at Huddersfield likely to be a minor blip. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBristol City
48.62% (-1.173 -1.17) 25.83% (0.526 0.53) 25.55% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.966 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (-1.564 -1.56)53.54% (1.566 1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-1.334 -1.33)75.05% (1.336 1.34)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-1.149 -1.15)22.04% (1.151 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-1.768 -1.77)55.37% (1.771 1.77)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.292 -0.29)36.04% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.299 -0.3)72.82% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 48.62%
    Bristol City 25.55%
    Draw 25.82%
SouthamptonDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 48.62%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.477 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.425 0.42)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.186 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.55%

How you voted: Southampton vs Bristol City

Southampton
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Bristol City
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
Dec 30, 2011 9.53pm
Southampton
0-1
Bristol City

Schneiderlin (65'), Fox (90')
Pearson (79')
Carey (34'), Wilson (61'), Pearson (69'), James (90'), Maynard (90')
Nov 26, 2011 3pm
Feb 14, 2009 3pm
Bristol City
2-0
Southampton
Adebola (34'), Sproule (90')
Fontaine (56'), Orr (86'), Williams (89')

Skacel (15'), Surman (50'), Schneiderlin (62')
Nov 8, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester34253670294178
2Leeds UnitedLeeds34226664273772
3Ipswich TownIpswich34219468452372
4Southampton34207765422367
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom341681049321756
6Hull City34167115043755
7Norwich CityNorwich34157125951852
8Preston North EndPreston34157124752-552
9Coventry CityCoventry341312951401151
10Sunderland34145154639747
11Watford341111125047344
12Bristol City34128143939044
13Middlesbrough33135154749-244
14Cardiff CityCardiff34135163948-944
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth341010145357-440
16Blackburn RoversBlackburn34116174860-1239
17Swansea CitySwansea34109154355-1239
18Birmingham CityBirmingham33108153851-1338
19Huddersfield TownHuddersfield34813134055-1537
20Millwall3499163347-1436
21Queens Park RangersQPR3498173245-1335
22Stoke CityStoke3498173148-1735
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3495202853-2532
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham34310213066-3619

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