Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.