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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
| 34.39% ( | 24.79% ( | 40.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( | 45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( | 67.36% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( | 25.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( | 60.24% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( | 22.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( | 55.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.39% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.82% |