Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 5' goal
  • Flynn Downes 36' yellowcard
  • Russell Martin 37' yellowcard
  • Mason Holgate 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 79' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Bartley 65'

Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
Millwall 0 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
West Brom 3 - 1 Hull City
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Brandon Thomas-Asante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 36.19% (+0.06)
Draw 25.79% (+0.37)
West Bromwich Albion 38.02% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.94% (-1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.74% (-1.63)
Under 2.5 49.26% (+1.62)
Over 3.5 28.68% (-1.49)
Under 3.5 71.31% (+1.48)
Over 4.5 13.77% (-1.02)
Under 4.5 86.23% (+1.02)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 73.61% (-0.73)
Under 0.5 26.39% (+0.73)
Over 1.5 38.46% (-0.99)
Under 1.5 61.54% (+0.98)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.64% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 25.36% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 39.85% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 60.15% (+1.35)

Score analysis

Southampton 36.19%
Draw 25.79%
West Bromwich Albion 38.02%
Southampton
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.94% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 36.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.23% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 6.69% (+0.44)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.79%
West Bromwich Albion
0-1 @ 9.18% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 8.39% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 6.3% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 38.02%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 12, 2021 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matheus Pereira 32' goal
  • Matt Phillips 35' goal
  • Callum Robinson 69' goal
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 37'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moussa Djenepo 41' goal
  • Moussa Djenepo 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 53' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 26'
FA Cup
Feb 17, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Grzegorz Krychowiak 30' yellowcard
  • James McClean 42' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 58' goal
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 11'
  • yellowcard Guido Carrillo 45'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 56'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 75'
Premier League
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ahmed Hegazi 4' goal
  • Gareth Barry 22' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 72' goal
  • Matt Phillips 92' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Lemina 40'
  • goal Jack Stephens 43'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 55'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bertrand 92'
Premier League
Oct 21, 2017 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Sofiane Boufal 85' goal
  • yellowcard Nacer Chadli 67'
Premier League
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jonny Evans 36' yellowcard
  • Matt Phillips 49' yellowcard
  • goal Jordy Clasie 25'
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 76'
  • yellowcard Fraser Forster 90'