Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bartley (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
36.19% ( 0.05)	25.79% ( 0.36)	38.02% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74% (

-1.63)

49.26% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68% (

-1.48)

71.31% (

1.48)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0.73)

26.39% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.98)

61.54% (

0.98)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

-0.97)

25.36% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

-1.35)

60.15% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.19%

West Bromwich Albion 38.02%

Draw 25.79%

Southampton	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02%