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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
| 42.92% ( | 25.45% ( | 31.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( | 48.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( | 70.84% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( | 22.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( | 56.24% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% ( | 64.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0-2 @ 5.03% ( 1-3 @ 3.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.62% |