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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Bristol City

Blackburn
2 - 1
Bristol City

Sigurdsson (35'), Wharton (52')
Carter (22'), Brittain (85'), Szmodics (88'), Travis (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (60')
Knight (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
42.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)25.45% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)31.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.98% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.84% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)22.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.032000000000011 0.03)28.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)64.84% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.92%
    Bristol City 31.62%
    Draw 25.45%
Blackburn RoversDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.12% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Bristol City

Blackburn Rovers
81.8%
Draw
6.1%
Bristol City
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
Semenyo (68')
Dack (54')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Blackburn
2-3
Bristol City
Dolan (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+3')
Wharton (7'), Pickering (67')
Conway (42'), Wells (55', 73')
James (57'), Scott (58')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Blackburn
0-1
Bristol City

Khadra (49')
Weimann (90+2')
Scott (26'), Bentley (87'), Weimann (88')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 18
Bristol City
1-1
Blackburn
O'Dowda (34')
Williams (71'), Massengo (74')
Brereton Diaz (75')
Nyambe (33'), Rothwell (82')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm