Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
2 - 3
Man City

Isak (35'), Gordon (37')
Guimaraes (21')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Silva (26'), De Bruyne (74'), Bobb (90+1')
Rodri (45+4'), Silva (55')

Reaction

Newcastle United's Sean Longstaff scores a disallowed goal as Manchester City's Ederson and Kyle Walker collide on January 13, 2024

Pep Guardiola hopeful Ederson injury is just a "knock"

Pep Guardiola is hopeful that the injury which forced Ederson off in Manchester City's 3-2 win over Newcastle United will not prove to be anything more than a "knock".

Jan 14, 18:33

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola reacts on January 13, 2024

Manchester City set new Premier League scoring record in Newcastle United win

Manchester City set a new Premier League record in their 3-2 win over Newcastle United, becoming the first team to score in 31 successive games against the same opponent.

Jan 13, 23:05

Pep Guardiola: 'Manchester City showed me they want to retain Premier League title'

Pep Guardiola believes that his Manchester City side displayed the hunger to retain their Premier League title this season after coming from behind to beat Newcastle United 3-2 at St James' Park on Saturday.

Jan 13, 22:21

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne celebrates with manager Pep Guardiola after the match on January 13, 2024

Kevin De Bruyne draws level with Wayne Rooney on all-time Premier League assist list

Kevin De Bruyne equals Wayne Rooney's Premier League assist tally after setting up Oscar Bobb's stoppage-time winner in Manchester City's 3-2 win against Newcastle United.

Jan 13, 21:50

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 5-0 Huddersfield
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester City
31.97% ( -0.14)	24.26% ( 0.02)	43.77% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.71% (

-0.16)

43.28% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.32% (

-0.15)

65.68% (

0.15)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

-0.16)

26.06% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.9% (

-0.22)

61.1% (

0.22)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.01)

19.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9% (

-0.02)

52.09% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 31.97%

Manchester City 43.77%

Draw 24.26%

Newcastle United	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.97%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 43.77%