FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Huddersfield

Foden (33', 65'), Alvarez (37'), Jackson (58' og.), Doku (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Matos (13'), Spencer (90+3')

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne with Jeremy Doku during the warm up before the match on January 7, 2024

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Jan 7, 18:29

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Huddersfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Huddersfield
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 89.56%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 3.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.3%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a Huddersfield Town win it was 1-2 (1.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Huddersfield Town
89.56% ( 2.73)	7.3% ( -1.16)	3.13% ( -1.57)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-10.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.44% (

-3.52)

21.56% (

3.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.72% (

-5.03)

40.28% (

5.03)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.12% (

-0.17)

2.88% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.91% (

-0.59)

13.09% (

0.59)

Huddersfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.8% (

-10.74)

54.2% (

10.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.6% (

-7.72)

87.4% (

7.72)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 89.56%

Huddersfield Town 3.13%

Draw 7.3%

Manchester City	Draw	Huddersfield Town
3-0 @ 11.61% ( 2.39) 4-0 @ 10.3% ( 1.98) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 2.15) 5-0 @ 7.31% ( 1.31) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 1.28) 5-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.52) 6-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.71) 6-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.36) 7-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.33) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -1.02) 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.96) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.71) 7-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.21) 8-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.13) Other @ 4.12% Total : 89.56%	1-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.82) 0-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.51% Total : 7.3%	1-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.14% Total : 3.13%