Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 27, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 3
Man City

Harrison (29')
Patterson (39'), Gomes (60'), Pickford (63'), Branthwaite (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Foden (53'), Alvarez (64' pen.), Silva (86')
Akanji (59'), Grealish (81')

Reaction

Manchester City's John Stones after he receives medical attention on December 27, 2023

Pep Guardiola provides John Stones, Kevin De Bruyne injury update after Everton win

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Dec 28, 09:06

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Everton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Fluminense
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Manchester City
17.15% ( 0.41)	21.16% ( 0.13)	61.68% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.86% (

0.15)

44.14% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.48% (

0.14)

66.52% (

-0.14)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85% (

0.59)

39.15% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

0.55)

75.86% (

-0.54)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.22% (

-0.11)

13.78% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.91% (

-0.23)

41.09% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Everton 17.15%

Manchester City 61.68%

Draw 21.16%

Everton	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.15%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.16%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.47% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 61.68%