Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Everton |
45.65% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.01) | 30% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.4% ( 0.04) | 44.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.03% ( 0.04) | 66.97% ( -0.03) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.33% ( 0.02) | 19.67% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.34% ( 0.03) | 51.66% ( -0.03) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.02% ( 0.02) | 27.98% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( 0.02) | 63.62% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Everton |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.8% Total : 30% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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