Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Everton |
| 45.65% ( | 24.35% ( | 30% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( | 44.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.03% ( | 66.97% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( | 19.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( | 51.66% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.35% | 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.8% Total : 30% |