Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 2
Crystal Palace

Grealish (24'), Lewis (54')
Ederson (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mateta (76'), Olise (90+5' pen.)
Andersen (40')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola on December 16, 2023

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola: 'Crystal Palace draw is what we deserved'

Pep Guardiola admits that his Manchester City side "deserved" to draw 2-2 with Crystal Palace in the Premier League despite dominating Saturday's contest at the Etihad Stadium.

Dec 16, 21:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Red Star 2-3 Man City
Wednesday, December 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.98%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 4-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (1.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
82.98% ( -0.03)	11.03% ( 0.01)	5.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.34% (

0.02)

26.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.94% (

0.03)

47.06% (

-0.03)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.34% (

-0)

4.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.04% (

-0)

18.96% (

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.68% (

0.06)

47.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.28% (

0.05)

82.72% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 82.97%

Crystal Palace 5.99%

Draw 11.03%

Manchester City	Draw	Crystal Palace
3-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.9% 5-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.49% Total : 82.97%	1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 11.03%	1-2 @ 1.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 5.99%