Premier League
Gameweek
22
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-
Boubacar Kamara
39'
-
Ollie Watkins
71'
-
Douglas Luiz
72'
-
John McGinn
77'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
90'+5'
-
Fabian Schar
32'
-
Fabian Schar
36'
-
Alex Moreno
52'
(OG)
-
Anthony Gordon
90'+4'
Aston Villa vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
Result
Aston Villa
51.5%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
22.73%
▲
(+0.04)
Newcastle United
25.77%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
60.11%
▼
(-0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.88%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
40.12%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
37.51%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
62.49%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
20.18%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
79.82%
▲
(+0.16)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
84.29%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
15.71%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
55.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
44.78%
▲
(+0.11)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5
71.32%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
28.68%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
35.5%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
64.5%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
51.5%
Draw
22.73%
Newcastle United
25.77%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
9.64%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.5%
1-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.5%
Draw
1-1
@
10.41%
▲
(+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.73%
2-2 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.73%
Newcastle United
1-2
@
6.5%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 25.77%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
1
-
Sandro Tonali
6'
-
Alexander Isak
16'
-
Anthony Gordon
53'
-
Sven Botman
45'+9'
-
Alexander Isak
58'
-
Bruno Guimaraes
67'
-
Callum Wilson
77'
-
Harvey Barnes
90'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
90'+2'
-
Douglas Luiz
6'
-
Moussa Diaby
11'
-
Lucas Digne
32'
-
Matty Cash
48'
-
Emiliano Martinez
45'+9'
Club Friendlies 1
-
Elliott Anderson
28'
-
Alexander Isak
45'
-
Callum Wilson
55'
-
Ollie Watkins
7'
-
Emiliano Buendia
11'
-
Emiliano Buendia
48'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Jacob Ramsey
11'
-
Ollie Watkins
64'
-
Ollie Watkins
83'
Premier League
Gameweek
14
-
Callum Wilson
45'+5'
-
Callum Wilson
56'
-
Joelinton
59'
-
Miguel Almiron
67'
Premier League
Gameweek
25
-
Kieran Trippier
35'
-
Joelinton
39'
-
Dan Burn
66'
-
Jonjo Shelvey
82'
-
John McGinn
42'
-
Douglas Luiz
89'
-
Leon Bailey
90'+5'
-
Jacob Ramsey
90'+7'
Premier League
Gameweek
2
-
Douglas Luiz
45'+1'
-
Danny Ings
45'+3'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
62'
-
Emiliano Martinez
75'
-
Emiliano Buendia
85'
-
Callum Wilson
41'
-
Isaac Hayden
45'
-
Jacob Murphy
57'
-
Fabian Schar
84'