Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Newcastle

Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Fabian Schar scores a first-half brace to lead Newcastle United to a 3-1 away victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Aston Villa
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Newcastle
Saturday, January 27 at 7pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
51.5% ( 0.03)	22.73% ( 0.03)	25.77% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.88% (

-0.19)

40.12% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.51% (

-0.19)

62.49% (

0.2)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

-0.06)

15.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22% (

-0.11)

44.78% (

0.11)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0.14)

28.68% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

-0.18)

64.5% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 51.5%

Newcastle United 25.77%

Draw 22.73%

Aston Villa	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 51.5%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 25.77%