FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 53.5% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 22.18% ▼ (-0.05)
Aston Villa 24.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.5% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.09% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 38.91% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 21.17% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 4.5 78.83% ▼ (-0.13)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 85.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 14.61% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 57.3% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 42.7% ▼ (-0.18)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 70.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 65.09% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea 53.51%
Draw 22.17%
Aston Villa 24.32%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 53.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.17%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.32%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • John McGinn 7' goal
Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Mason Mount 6'
  • goal Mason Mount 65'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Reece James 28' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 65' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 34'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 70'
  • goal Jorginho 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Malang Sarr 31' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 54' goal
  • Reece James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Archer 64'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 86'

Form Data

Chelsea 6 - 1 Middlesbrough
Chelsea 1 - 0 Fulham
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 0 Preston
Luton 2 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Middlesbrough 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Burnley
Man Utd 3 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Sheff Utd
Brentford 1 - 2 Aston Villa

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