FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
0 - 0
Aston Villa

Silva (9')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Luiz (12')
Tielemans (46')

Reaction

Chelsea defender Alfie Gilchrist in action in January 2024.

Mauricio Pochettino praises Alfie Gilchrist after late inclusion versus Aston Villa

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino heaps praise on youngster Alfie Gilchrist for how he performed against Aston Villa in the FA Cup fourth round after his late inclusion.

Jan 27, 09:42

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Aston Villa
53.5% ( 0.13)	22.18% ( -0.05)	24.32% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.5% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.09% (

0.15)

38.91% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77% (

0.15)

61.23% (

-0.15)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

0.09)

14.61% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.3% (

0.18)

42.7% (

-0.18)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.84% (

0.02)

29.16% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.91% (

0.02)

65.09% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 53.51%

Aston Villa 24.32%

Draw 22.17%

Chelsea	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.51%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.32%