EFL Cup
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Mykhaylo Mudryk
12'
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Jonny Howson
15'
-
Enzo Fernandez
29'
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Axel Disasi
36'
-
Cole Palmer
42'
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Thiago Silva
53'
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Cole Palmer
77'
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Noni Madueke
81'
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Matt Crooks
40'
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Rav van den Berg
64'
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Morgan Rogers
88'
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Chelsea
45.23%
▼
(-0.39)
Draw
24.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Middlesbrough
30.32%
▲
(+0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
57.7%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
44.88%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
32.76%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
67.24%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
16.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
83.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
80.03%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
19.96%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
47.86%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 1.5
52.13%
▲
(+0.26)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5
72.09%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 0.5
27.9%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 1.5
36.48%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
63.52%
▼
(-0.32)
Score analysis
Chelsea
45.23%
Draw
24.45%
Middlesbrough
30.32%
Chelsea
2-1
@
9.23%
▼
(-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.23%
1-0 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.23%
Draw
1-1
@
11.45%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.45%
2-2 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.45%
Middlesbrough
1-2
@
7.31%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 30.32%
0-1 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 30.32%
Head to Head
EFL Cup
-
Hayden Hackney
37'
-
Isaiah Jones
90'+3'
-
Levi Colwill
30'
FA Cup
-
Jonny Howson
87'
-
Lee Peltier
89'
-
Romelu Lukaku
15'
-
Hakim Ziyech
31'
Premier League
-
Diego Costa
23'
-
Marcos Alonso
34'
-
Nemanja Matic
65'
-
Fabio
60'
-
Patrick Bamford
89'
Premier League
-
Adam Clayton
8'
-
Calum Chambers
74'
-
Diego Costa
41'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
51'
-
David Luiz
64'
-
N'Golo Kante
73'
FA Cup
-
Ramires
0'
-
Victor Moses
0'
Premier League
-
Salomon Kalou
58'
-
Salomon Kalou
81'
-
Mohamed Shawky
9'
-
Chris Riggott
56'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News