EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
6 - 1
Middlesbrough

(Chelsea win 6-2 on aggregate)

Howson (15' og.), Fernandez (29'), Disasi (36'), Palmer (42', 77'), Madueke (81')
Mudryk (12'), Silva (53')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Rogers (88')
Crooks (40'), van den Berg (64')

Reaction

Chelsea manager Mauricio Pochettino reacts on December 16, 2023

Mauricio Pochettino calls for "trust" after Chelsea reach EFL Cup final

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino calls for "trust" from the Chelsea supporters after his side blitz Middlesbrough to reach the EFL Cup final.

Jan 23, 23:30

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Middlesbrough
45.23% ( -0.39)	24.45% ( 0.03)	30.32% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 57.7% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.11% (

0.02)

44.88% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76% (

0.02)

67.24% (

-0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.03% (

-0.16)

19.96% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.86% (

-0.26)

52.13% (

0.25)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.25)

27.9% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

0.31)

63.52% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 45.23%

Middlesbrough 30.32%

Draw 24.45%

Chelsea	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.32%