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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 62.22% ( | 21.62% ( | 16.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( | 47.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( | 70.02% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.19% ( | 14.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.9% ( | 43.1% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.39% ( | 42.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.04% ( | 78.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-0 @ 11.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.37% Total : 62.21% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.19% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 2-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 16.16% |