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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
26.25% ( 0.17) | 24.5% ( -0.05) | 49.24% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 54.57% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( 0.37) | 47.66% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.14% ( 0.34) | 69.85% ( -0.34) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( 0.33) | 32.3% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( 0.37) | 68.8% ( -0.37) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.09) | 19.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( 0.16) | 51.21% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 49.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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