Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Den
  • Joe Bryan 10' goal
  • George Honeyman 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 51' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 80' yellowcard
  • goal Lukas Engel 38'
  • goal Isaiah Jones 58'
  • yellowcard Lukas Engel 66'
  • goal Marcus Forss 90'+5'

Millwall vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol City 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 1 - 3 Coventry
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Millwall 26.25% (+0.17)
Draw 24.5% (-0.06)
Middlesbrough 49.24% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.57% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.34% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 47.66% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 30.14% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 69.85% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 14.77% (+0.24)
Under 4.5 85.23% (-0.24)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 32.3% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 31.2% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 68.8% (-0.38)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 80.6% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 19.4% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 48.79% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 51.21% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Millwall 26.25%
Draw 24.5%
Middlesbrough 49.24%
Millwall
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.56% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.5%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-2 @ 8.43% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 5.21% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.14% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 49.24%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jonny Howson 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Nisbet 46'
  • goal Romain Esse 79'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 80'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Marcus Forss 54' goal
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Zian Flemming 5' goal
  • Zian Flemming 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jake Cooper 4' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ballard 16' yellowcard
  • Scott Malone 19' yellowcard
  • Jed Wallace 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 19'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matt Crooks 15' goal
  • Jonny Howson 57' yellowcard
  • goal Sol Bamba 27' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 34'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 45'+3'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Grant Hall 31' goal
  • Danny McNamara 35' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Bola 20'