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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 43.89% ( | 27.15% ( | 28.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.42% ( | 56.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.44% ( | 77.56% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( | 25.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.51% ( | 60.49% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( | 71.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.59% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.96% |