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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Millwall


Rose (47')
FT

Mitchell (18'), Cooper (66'), Harding (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
43.89% (-0.319 -0.32)27.15% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.96% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 48.43% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.42% (0.066000000000003 0.07)56.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.44% (0.054000000000002 0.05)77.56% (-0.047999999999988 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.131 -0.13)25.6% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (-0.181 -0.18)60.49% (0.188 0.19)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.271 0.27)34.9% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.286 0.29)71.64% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.89%
    Millwall 28.96%
    Draw 27.14%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.89%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
38.5%
Draw
38.5%
Millwall
23.1%
13
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Millwall
1-0
Stoke
Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
0-1
Millwall
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-1
Stoke
Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')