Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.