Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Yakou Meite 62' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Goutas 78' goal
  • yellowcard Shaun Hutchinson 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 78'

Cardiff City vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
Southampton 2 - 0 Cardiff
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Perry Ng

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result

Cardiff City 40.13% (-0.07)
Draw 27.7% (-0.03)
Millwall 32.18% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.17% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.46% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 57.54% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 21.67% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 78.33% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 9.32% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 90.69% (-0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 71.94% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.06% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.28% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.72% (-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 66.96% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 33.04% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 30.37% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 69.64% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 40.12%
Draw 27.69%
Millwall 32.17%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 40.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.27% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
Millwall
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.22% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.17%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 26'
Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Charlie Cresswell 63' goal
  • Callum Styles 76' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 88' yellowcard
  • Benik Afobe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 46'
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 53'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Murray Wallace 53' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 73' goal
  • Mason Bennett 82' goal
  • goal Joel Bagan 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aden Flint 51' yellowcard
  • Aden Flint 66' goal
  • Aden Flint 70' goal
  • Sean Morrison 83' goal
  • Curtis Nelson 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 65'
  • goal Benik Afobe 76'
Championship Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Joe Bennett 69' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 71' goal
  • Will Vaulks 76' yellowcard
  • Sean Morrison 84' yellowcard
  • goal Aden Flint 9' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 12
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Matt Smith 35' goal
  • Ryan Woods 72' yellowcard
  • Shaun Williams 88' yellowcard
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Kieffer Moore 80'