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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
West Brom logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
West Brom


Bowler (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sarmiento (50')
Furlong (88'), Bartley (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Ipswich
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
40.84% (0.83600000000001 0.84)27.09% (0.381 0.38)32.07% (-1.211 -1.21)
Both teams to score 49.94% (-1.509 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.71% (-1.766 -1.77)55.3% (1.77 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.49% (-1.471 -1.47)76.51% (1.474 1.47)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.363 -0.36)26.61% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.487 -0.49)61.84% (0.49 0.49)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-1.708 -1.71)31.96% (1.713 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-1.997 -2)68.42% (2.001 2)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 40.84%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.07%
    Draw 27.09%
Cardiff CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.64 0.64)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.35 0.35)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.121 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 40.84%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.229 -0.23)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.09%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.21 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.32% (-0.267 -0.27)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.07%

How you voted: Cardiff vs West Brom

Cardiff City
28.9%
Draw
13.2%
West Bromwich Albion
57.9%
38
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cardiff
1-1
West Brom
Kaba (65')
Dike (17')
Aug 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
West Brom
0-0
Cardiff
O'Shea (21'), Livermore (31'), Molumby (54')
Ojo (33'), Ng (48'), Allsop (72')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Cardiff
Robinson (48')
Bartley (23'), Molumby (85')
Mowatt (76'), Johnstone (90+4')
Collins (34')
Giles (27'), McGuinness (90+3')
Flint (90+4')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cardiff
0-4
West Brom

Collins (39')
Grant (5'), Nelson (56' og.), Mowatt (75'), Phillips (82')
Bartley (42')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cardiff
2-1
West Brom
Paterson (46'), Tomlin (76')
Nelson (65')
Austin (60' pen.)