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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Norwich logo

Cardiff
2 - 3
Norwich

Bowler (39'), Robinson (43')
Grant (12'), Wintle (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fassnacht (22'), Wintle (82' og.), Idah (84')
Nunez (45'), Gibbs (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Cardiff
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Blackburn
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Norwich City

With Norwich still possessing a talented attacking unit, they should not be ruled out from causing a surprise in South Wales. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the home side, whose excellent home form cannot be ignored, and Cardiff could run out victors by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
42.09% (1.375 1.38) 26.54% (0.452 0.45) 31.37% (-1.828 -1.83)
Both teams to score 51.36% (-2.048 -2.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.65% (-2.357 -2.36)53.35% (2.357 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.11% (-2.031 -2.03)74.89% (2.03 2.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.349 -0.35)25.07% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.25% (-0.488 -0.49)59.75% (0.488 0.49)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-2.404 -2.4)31.45% (2.404 2.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-2.875 -2.88)67.83% (2.875 2.88)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 42.08%
    Norwich City 31.37%
    Draw 26.54%
Cardiff CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.534 0.53)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.213 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.704 0.7)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.311 -0.31)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 9.12% (0.244 0.24)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.37%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Norwich

Cardiff City
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Norwich City
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
1-2
Norwich
Ralls (65')
Bacuna (34'), Pack (54'), Hoilett (57'), Wilson (89')
Pack (70')
Hanley (3'), Cantwell (22')
Dec 19, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')
Aug 28, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
1-3
Norwich
Ecuele Manga (77')
Richards (40'), Damour (73')
Srbeny (26', 64'), Aarons (69')
Stiepermann (29'), Aarons (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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