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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 42.4% ( | 25.9% | 31.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( | 50.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( | 72.54% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% | 57.82% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( | 65.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.39% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.7% |