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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
48.29% (![]() | 24.46% (![]() | 27.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% (![]() | 46.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% (![]() | 69.01% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% (![]() | 19.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% (![]() | 51.25% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.96% (![]() | 31.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% (![]() | 67.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 9.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 11.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Luton TownLuton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea CitySwansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
> Championship Full Table |