/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
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Josh Laurent
38'
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Lynden Gooch
42'
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Daniel Johnson
70'
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Ben Pearson
82'
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Ben Cabango
41'
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Yannick Bolasie
84'
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Harry Darling
89'
Stoke City vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fstoke-city.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Stoke City
38.13%
▲
(+0.16)
Draw
25.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Swansea City
36.48%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
56.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
47.43%
Over 3.5
30.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
69.64%
Over 4.5
14.92%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
85.08%
▼
(-0.01)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
75.54%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
24.46%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
41.09%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
58.9%
▼
(-0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
74.63%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
25.37%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
39.83%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Stoke City
38.13%
Draw
25.38%
Swansea City
36.48%
Stoke City
1-0
@
8.74%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 38.13%
2-1 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 38.13%
Draw
1-1
@
11.98%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 6.21%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
Swansea City
0-1
@
8.51%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 36.48%
1-2 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 36.48%
Ryan Bennett
58'