Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.