Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.