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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Southampton logo

QPR
0 - 1
Southampton


Dixon-Bonner (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harwood-Bellis (42')
Aribo (45+2'), Charles (68'), Adams (71'), Stephens (90+3')
Charles (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 QPR
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 4-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawSouthampton
27.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)23.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.51% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.33% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)43.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.33% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)65.67% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.74% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)17.98% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)48.84% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 27.74%
    Southampton 48.51%
    Draw 23.75%
Queens Park RangersDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 27.74%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 48.51%

How you voted: QPR vs Southampton

Queens Park Rangers
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southampton
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-1
QPR
Edozie (30'), Armstrong (64')
Manning (11'), Armstrong (19'), Alcaraz (29'), Fraser (90+2')
Colback (32')
Duke-McKenna (87'), Field (89')