Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.