Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Flynn Downes 37' yellowcard
  • Samuel Edozie 44' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 64' goal
  • William Smallbone 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Aribo 76' yellowcard
  • Sekou Mara 90'+7' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Brittain 26'
  • redcard Callum Brittain 55'
  • yellowcard Sammie Szmodics 67'
  • yellowcard Hayden Carter 90'+10'

Southampton vs Blackburn Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Coventry 1 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Blackburn 2 - 1 Bristol City
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Sammie Szmodics

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 45.64% (-0.76)
Draw 22.92% (+0.15)
Blackburn Rovers 31.44% (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.81% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.88% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 37.12% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 40.68% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 59.32% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 22.69% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 77.31% (+0.36)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 83.29% (-0.44)
Under 0.5 16.71% (+0.44)
Over 1.5 53.39% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 46.61% (+0.80)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 76.62% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 23.38% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 42.63% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 57.36% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Southampton 45.64%
Draw 22.92%
Blackburn Rovers 31.44%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 6.99% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.07)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.92%
Blackburn Rovers
1-2 @ 7.38% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.58% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2% (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.44%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 9, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Morten Gamst Pedersen 11' goal
  • Andreas Jakobsson 48' goal
  • Brett Emerton 50' yellowcard
  • Steven Reid 55' goal
  • Steven Reid 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henri Camara 30'
Premier League
Aug 21, 2004 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kevin Phillips 32' goal
  • Anders Svensson 74' goal
  • James Beattie 90' goal
  • goal Barry Ferguson 50'
  • yellowcard Barry Ferguson 82'
  • yellowcard Nils-Eric Johansson 90'
Premier League
Feb 28, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andy Cole 52' goal
  • Markus Babbel 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Phillips 5'
  • yellowcard Jason Dodd 90'
Premier League
Oct 25, 2003 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Beattie 59' goal
  • Léandre Griffit 87' goal
  • yellowcard Andy Todd 60'
  • redcard Andy Cole 65'
Premier League
Feb 8, 2003 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Thompson 26' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Marsden 82'
Premier League
Nov 9, 2002 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • James Beattie 38' goal
  • yellowcard Tugay Kerimoglu 36'
  • redcard Tugay Kerimoglu 76'
  • yellowcard Lucas Neill 80'
  • goal Andy Cole 90'