Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.