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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
0 - 1
Millwall


Williams (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hutchinson (90+2')
Norton-Cuffy (74'), Leonard (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Norwich
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Millwall

Millwall have only actually lost four times away from home in the Championship this season, sharing the spoils on five occasions, while Bristol City have dropped points in half of their 12 home league games in 2023-24. A case can be made for either to win it, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
42.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 26.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)52.8% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)74.42% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.68% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)59.21% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 42.35%
    Millwall 31.25%
    Draw 26.39%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Millwall
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Millwall
0-1
Bristol City

Hutchinson (67')
James (90+4')
Williams (25'), Pring (69'), Vyner (88')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol City
1-2
Millwall
Hutchinson (71' og.)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 26
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Millwall
1-0
Bristol City
Wallace (64' pen.)
McNamara (79')

Williams (59'), Atkinson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
17Millwall441411194355-1253
18Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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