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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
| 42.35% ( | 26.4% ( | 31.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( | 52.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( | 74.42% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% ( | 24.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% ( | 59.21% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( | 31.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( | 67.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.25% |