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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
34.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)26.79% (0.0040000000000013 0)38.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)53.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.87%
    Bristol City 38.34%
    Draw 26.78%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
65.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol City
0-2
Birmingham

Dickie (38'), Dickie (76')
Dickie (76')
Miyoshi (45+3'), Jutkiewicz (84')
Sunjic (20'), Buchanan (52')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bristol City
4-2
Birmingham
Semenyo (17'), Wells (21'), Sykes (47', 66')
Deeney (34' pen.), Khadra (76')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
Trusty (3', 43'), Sanderson (75')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Bristol City
1-2
Birmingham
Scott (48')
Klose (31'), Scott (86')
Chong (2'), Gordon (13')
Gardner (90+3')
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol City
McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')