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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
0 - 1
Birmingham


Meite (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
49.92% (0.35 0.35)25.5% (0.165 0.17)24.58% (-0.516 -0.52)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-0.994 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-1.056 -1.06)53% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.906 -0.91)74.59% (0.90600000000001 0.91)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.75% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)21.25% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.84% (-0.435 -0.44)54.16% (0.434 0.43)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-1.032 -1.03)36.59% (1.031 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-1.049 -1.05)73.37% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 49.92%
    Birmingham City 24.58%
    Draw 25.49%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.04% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.33% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.318 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 24.58%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
76.2%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')