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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
| 40.4% ( | 25.25% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.91% ( | 47.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% ( | 69.33% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( | 23.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( | 57% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( | 26.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( | 61.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 2-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 34.35% |