FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT The Den
  • Duncan Watmore 56' goal
  • Zian Flemming 69' yellowcard
  • Zian Flemming 86' goal
  • goal Cesare Casadei 16'
  • goal Ricardo Pereira 39'
  • goal Tom Cannon 61'
  • yellowcard Tom Cannon 90'+3'

Millwall vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Leicester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Millwall 29.48% (+0.27)
Draw 26.4% (+0.13)
Leicester City 44.12% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.49% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 53.5% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 24.98% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 75.02% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 11.34% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 88.65% (+0.20)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 67.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.54% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.46% (-0.01)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 75.88% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 24.12% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 41.58% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 58.42% (+0.50)

Score analysis

Millwall 29.48%
Draw 26.4%
Leicester City 44.12%
Millwall
1-0 @ 8.82% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 6.98% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.9% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.93% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.4%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 11.28% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.02% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 44.12%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 21
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT King Power Stadium
  • Conor Coady 37' yellowcard
  • Jannik Vestergaard 48' goal
  • Patson Daka 52' goal
  • Ricardo Pereira 78' goal
  • Wout Faes 82' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Bradshaw 10'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 13'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 21'
  • yellowcard Murray Wallace 24'
  • yellowcard George Saville 75'
  • goal Kevin Nisbet 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • goal Ademola Lookman 50'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 88'
Championship
Jan 1, 2014 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott McDonald 15' yellowcard
  • Richard Chaplow 68' goal
  • Alan Dunne 77' yellowcard
  • goal Anthony Knockaert 6'
  • yellowcard Dean Hammond 29'
  • yellowcard Gary Taylor-Fletcher 42'
  • goal David Nugent 48'
  • goal Jeffrey Schlupp 90'
Championship
Nov 30, 2013 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lloyd Dyer 12' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 28' yellowcard
  • Jamie Vardy 52' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 55' goal
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 24'
Championship
Mar 29, 2013 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Wes Morgan 3' redcard
  • yellowcard Robert Hulse 60'
  • yellowcard Richard Chaplow 68'
  • yellowcard Liam Trotter 70'
  • yellowcard Alan Dunne 74'
  • goal Alan Dunne 87'
Championship
Dec 15, 2012 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nadjim Abdou 20' yellowcard
  • Chris Taylor 67' goal
  • Dan Shittu 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Nugent 20'
  • yellowcard Antony Knockaert 35'
  • yellowcard Marko Futacs 86'