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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 23.3% ( | 24.6% ( | 52.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( | 50.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% ( | 72.51% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( | 19.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.79% ( | 51.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 2-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 3-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0-3 @ 5.2% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.09% |