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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Stoke logo

Rotherham
0 - 1
Stoke


Eaves (86'), Cafu (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baker (45+4')
Burger (78'), Pearson (90+4'), Thompson (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.6% (0.076000000000001 0.08)52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.231 -0.23)50.59% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.207 -0.21)72.51% (0.211 0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)36.42% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)73.21% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.152 -0.15)19.4% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.252 -0.25)51.21% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 23.3%
    Stoke City 52.09%
    Draw 24.6%
Rotherham UnitedDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 23.3%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.2% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 52.09%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Stoke

Rotherham United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Stoke City
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Stoke
6-1
Rotherham
Burger (2'), Mmaee (18'), Laurent (29', 55'), Campbell (43'), Leris (72')
Wilmot (47')
Morrison (22')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Stoke
4-1
Rotherham
Hoever (5'), Vidigal (45+3', 45+8'), Brown (90')
Brown (30'), Pearson (45+2'), Johnson (74'), Laurent (88'), Thompson (90+5')
Peltier (46')
Bramall (25'), Odofin (28'), Morrison (45+2'), Cafu (52')
Cafu (69')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Thompson (45' og.), Washington (71')
Campbell (61'), Peltier (80' og.)
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Stoke
0-1
Rotherham
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
rhs 2.0


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