FA Cup
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 3 2
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 13' yellowcard
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 13' yellowcard
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 13' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 16' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 16' goal
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 16' goal
  • Michael Rose 37' yellowcard
  • Michael Rose 37' yellowcard
  • Joon-Ho Bae 48' yellowcard
  • Lewis Baker 63' goal
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 8'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 8'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 8'
  • yellowcard Jan Paul van Hecke 8'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 37'
  • yellowcard Facundo Buonanotte 37'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 45'+6'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 45'+6'
  • goal Lewis Dunk 52'
  • goal Joao Pedro 71'
  • goal Joao Pedro 80'

Stoke City vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Stoke City 35.87% (-0.06)
Draw 25.39% (-0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 38.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.28% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.47% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 47.52% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 30.27% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.73% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.85% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.14% (-0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 74.24% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 25.76% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.3% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.7% (+0.04)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 75.81% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.18% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 41.48% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.51% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Stoke City 35.87%
Draw 25.39%
Brighton & Hove Albion 38.74%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 35.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.03% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.97% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 38.74%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 28, 2023 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Bet365 Stadium
  • goal Evan Ferguson 30'
Premier League
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Xherdan Shaqiri 68' goal
  • goal Jose Izquierdo 32'
Premier League
Nov 20, 2017 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Glenn Murray 42' yellowcard
  • Pascal Gross 44' goal
  • Jose Izquierdo 60' goal
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 28'
  • goal Kurt Zouma 45'
Championship
Apr 30, 2006 3.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Wayne Henderson 7' yellowcard
  • Doug Loft 84' goal
  • goal Adam Rooney 6'
  • goal Adam Rooney 22'
  • goal Mamady Sidibe 40'
  • goal Adam Rooney 63'
Championship
Nov 5, 2005 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Darel Russell 31' yellowcard
  • Darel Russell 68' goal
  • Dave Brammer 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Duberry 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul McShane 39'
Championship
Mar 5, 2005 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gifton Noel-Williams 39' goal
  • Gifton Noel-Williams 44' goal
  • Clive Clarke 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Nicolas 69'