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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Selhurst Park
Brighton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to draw 1-1 with Crystal Palace in Thursday's M23 derby at Selhurst Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.29% (4.947 4.95) 25.18% (1.44 1.44) 43.53% (-6.39 -6.39)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.442 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31% (-3.429 -3.43)47.68% (3.424 3.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-3.246 -3.25)69.88% (3.242 3.24)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (1.776 1.78)28.65% (-1.779 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (2.166 2.17)64.46% (-2.17 -2.17)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (-4.07 -4.07)21.89% (4.067 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (-6.586 -6.59)55.14% (6.583 6.58)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 31.29%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%
    Draw 25.17%
Crystal PalaceDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.84% (1.387 1.39)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.824 0.82)
2-0 @ 4.9% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.476 0.48)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.519 0.52)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.29%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.849 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 9.53% (0.174 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.551 -0.55)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.83 -0.83)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.937 -0.94)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.973 -0.97)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.608 -0.61)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.328 -0.33)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.53%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Crystal Palace
27.3%
Draw
38.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
34.4%
183
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Jan 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Andersen (87' og.)
Gallagher (69')
Eze (44'), Hughes (61')
Sep 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
Zaha (45+2' pen.)
Gallagher (84'), McArthur (90+7')
Maupay (90+5')
Lallana (28'), Cucurella (77'), Trossard (81'), Sanchez (90+7')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 25
Brighton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Veltman (55')
Burn (53'), Veltman (84')
Mateta (28'), Benteke (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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