Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Brighton

Ayew (45+1')
Mateta (29'), Hughes (50'), Mitchell (54'), Ozoh (85'), Henderson (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Welbeck (82')
Balepa (31'), Julio (57')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion come from behind to draw 1-1 with Crystal Palace in Thursday's M23 derby at Selhurst Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
31.29% ( 4.95)	25.18% ( 1.44)	43.53% ( -6.39)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

-3.43)

47.68% (

3.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

-3.25)

69.88% (

3.24)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

1.78)

28.65% (

-1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.53% (

2.17)

64.46% (

-2.17)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

-4.07)

21.89% (

4.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.86% (

-6.59)

55.14% (

6.58)

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 31.29%

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.53%

Draw 25.17%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.82) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 1.06) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.52) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.78) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.83) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.94) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.97) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.64) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.61) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.33) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.53%