Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
1 - 1
Stoke

Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Stoke City
46.2% ( -0.01)	24.58% ( 0)	29.21% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.94% (

-0)

46.05% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.64% (

-0)

68.35% (

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97% (

-0.01)

20.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77% (

-0.01)

52.22% (

0.01)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

0.01)

29.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

0.01)

65.2% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Watford 46.2%

Stoke City 29.21%

Draw 24.57%

Watford	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.2%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.86% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 29.21%