Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 2
Watford

Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')

Reaction

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The Match

Match Report

The Hornets moved up to third with a hard-fought away win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Watford
27.68%	28.14%	44.18%

Both teams to score 44.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39%

60.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3%

80.7%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88%

38.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11%

74.88%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68%

27.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23%

62.76%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 27.68%

Watford 44.17%

Draw 28.13%

Stoke City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 6.29% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.56% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.68%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.81% Total : 44.17%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City

31.5%

Draw

19.6%

Watford

49.0%