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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 43.45% | 27.95% | 28.6% |
| Both teams to score 46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% | 59.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% | 79.92% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% | 27.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.37% | 62.63% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% | 36.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% | 73.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 8.48% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 3.68% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.87% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.6% |