Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 29, 2020 at 8pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Thompson (18')
Brown (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chester (65' og.)

Reaction

Nottingham Forest manager Chris Hughton pictured on October 20, 2020

Chris Hughton believes Forest need luck to fall their way

Stoke captain James Chester's second-half own goal cancelled out City's opener.

Dec 30, 00:00

The Match

Match Report

Jordan Thompson curled the hosts in front from a corner.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
40.36%	29.57%	30.06%

Both teams to score 42.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.6%

64.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.53%

83.47%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34%

67.66%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69%

38.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93%

75.06%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 40.36%

Nottingham Forest 30.06%

Draw 29.57%

Stoke City	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.76% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.36%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.57%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.62% Total : 30.06%

How you voted: Stoke vs Nott'm Forest

Stoke City

71.8%

Draw

21.1%

Nottingham Forest

7.0%