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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 34.83% | 27.12% | 38.05% |
| Both teams to score 50.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% | 54.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% | 76.21% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.95% | 66.05% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% | 63.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 7.76% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.05% |