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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.8%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
| 36.31% | 26.89% | 36.8% |
| Both teams to score 51.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.06% | 53.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% | 75.39% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.45% | 28.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% | 28.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.8% |