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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Brentford |
| 26.34% | 26.15% | 47.5% |
| Both teams to score 49.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.65% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% | 72.54% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% | 22.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.43% | 56.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.61% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.34% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 8.9% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.89% Total : 47.5% |