Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
4 - 2
Spurs

Hinshelwood (11'), Pedro (23' pen., 75' pen.), Estupinan (63')
Buonanotte (43'), Moder (70'), Dunk (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Veliz (81'), Davies (85')
Kulusevski (23'), Richarlison (57')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur manager Ange Postecoglou pictured on December 28, 2023

Ange Postecoglou hits out at VAR penalty decision in Brighton defeat

Ange Postecoglou sarcastically blasts VAR over Brighton & Hove Albion's first of two penalties in their 4-2 win over Tottenham Hotspur at the Amex Stadium.

Dec 28, 23:14

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
Thursday, December 21 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Everton
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 21.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
57.58% ( 0.26)	20.53% ( 0.11)	21.89% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 63.28% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.14% (

-1.05)

33.85% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.3% (

-1.2)

55.7% (

1.19)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.27)

11.71% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.18% (

-0.56)

36.82% (

0.56)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.67% (

-0.91)

28.33% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.94% (

-1.16)

64.06% (

1.16)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 57.58%

Tottenham Hotspur 21.89%

Draw 20.53%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.35% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 21.89%