Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 23.29% ( | 22.01% ( | 54.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( | 61.59% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( | 30.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.66% ( | 66.35% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.66% ( | 14.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.81% ( | 42.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.29% ( 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.7% |