Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
23.29% ( 0) | 22.01% ( -0) | 54.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.8% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.74% ( 0.01) | 39.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.41% ( 0.01) | 61.59% ( -0.01) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.81% ( 0.01) | 30.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.66% ( 0.01) | 66.35% ( -0.01) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( 0) | 14.34% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( 0.01) | 42.19% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6.03% 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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